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Tuesday, 25 September 2007 |
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Last Updated ( Saturday, 24 November 2007 )
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Tuesday, 25 September 2007 |
Objective:While forecasts of tropical cyclone track have shown significant improvements in recent years, corresponding improvements in forecasts of tropical cyclone intensity have been much slower. The lack of improvement in intensity forecasting is the result of deficiencies in the numerical models (e.g., resolution limitation and parameterization inadequacies), deficiencies in the observations, and deficiencies in our basic understanding of the physical processes involved. The problem becomes even more acute for forecasting tropical cyclogenesis. While global models have shown some skill in recent years in predicting tropical cyclogenesis, our understanding of the physical processes involved remains limited, largely because observing genesis events is a difficult task. However, a key aspect of the NOAA Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX) is the collection of observations during all portions of a tropical cyclone's lifecycle, particularly on the early lifecycle stages. This emphasis on the early stages of the lifecycle will provide an opportunity to observe several genesis events and improve our understanding of this key process, leading to better predictions of tropical cyclogenesis, organization, and intensification. |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 04 October 2007 )
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In the devastating wake of several major hurricanes, like Hurricane Katrina in 2005, hurricane protection has become a hot topic in the media. News media outlets follow the progress of the hurricane season more closely than ever. We at HurricaneProtectionGuidance.com act to help you sort through all news to bring you the most comprehensive guide to hurricane protection, while also keeping you up-to-date with hurricane activity throughout the hurricane season and beyond. 
